How to Know Whether You Are Strategic

What is strategic foresight ?

Foresight is the subject of exploring, anticipating and shaping the future to aid edifice and using collective intelligence in a structured, and systemic way to conceptualize developments. Strategic foresight, on the other hand, seeks to embed foresight into Eu policy-making. Information technology builds on collective intelligence in a structured and systematic way to help amend develop possible transition pathways, set the EU to withstand shocks and shape the time to come we want.

Strategic Foresight:

• Anticipates trends, risks, emerging issues, and their potential implications and opportunities in order to draw useful insights for strategic planning, policy-making and preparedness.
• Informs the design of new Commission initiatives and the review of existing policies in line with the revamped Commission Better Regulation toolbox;

Strategic Foresight is not well-nigh predicting the future; it explores dissimilar possible futures, alongside the opportunities and challenges they might present. Ultimately, it volition assist us human activity in the nowadays to shape the future nosotros want.

Primal actors

Vice-President Maroš Šefčovič is the first ever member of the College of Commissioners in charge of strategic foresight. Part of Vice-President's mission is to lead the efforts to embed strategic foresight at the heart of EU policymaking. The Secretariat-General and the Joint Research Centre lead the implementation of the mandate (the latter drawing on its internal foresight capacities). The Commission's Strategic Foresight Network ensures long-term policy coordination between all Directorates-General. The Committee is building close foresight cooperation and alliances with other EU institutions, notably in the context of the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS). It also works with international partners, and develops partnerships that draw on Member States' public foresight capabilities through the European union-wide Foresight Network.

Strategic Foresight Reports

The Committee produces an almanac Strategic Foresight Study, which informs the Commission Work Programmes and multi-almanac programming exercises. These exercises are conducted through a participative and cross-sectoral foresight procedure, led past Commission services in consultations with Member States, discussion with the European Strategy and Policy Assay Arrangement (ESPAS) and external stakeholders.

This year's Strategic Foresight Written report, The European union's capacity and liberty to act', presents a forwards-looking and multidisciplinary perspective on of import trends that volition bear upon the European union towards 2050, including: climate change and other challenges, technological transformations, force per unit area on democracy and values, as well as shifts in the global order and demography. It has likewise identified 10 areas where the EU can strengthen its capacity and liberty to act.

2021 Strategic Foresight Report

The 2020 Strategic Foresight Report, 'Charting the class towards a more than resilient Europe' discussed the first structural lessons learnt from the COVID-nineteen crisis, and explained how foresight tin assist strengthen Europe's long-term resilience in an era of primal and rapid change. It did so past analysing the European union's resilience across four dimensions: social and economical, geopolitical, green and digital. The report introduced resilience dashboards  that deed every bit monitoring tools for policymakers.

2020 Strategic Foresight Report

EU-wide Foresight Network

The launch of an European union-wide Foresight Network was announced in the Commission's 2020 Strategic Foresight Report. Its objective is to develop synergies that draw on public administration foresight capabilities, by bringing together intelligence and foresight expertise from all Fellow member States and the European Commission for strategic exchanges and cooperation on frontwards-looking issues relevant to Europe's futurity. This includes topics similar open strategic autonomy, resilience and our capacity to achieve the green, digital and fair transitions.

The EU-broad Foresight Network has two levels. "Ministers for the Time to come", designated past each Member State at the invitation of Vice-President Šefčovič, meet informally at to the lowest degree once a twelvemonth. Their mission is to discuss and hold with the Commission on the principal strategic priorities for the Commission'due south strategic foresight calendar, take stock of progress, talk over key issues of relevance for Europe'south future and agree on follow-upwards. This piece of work feeds into EU strategic programming.

The work of the Ministers for the Future is supported by a network of senior officials from national administrations, who meet at to the lowest degree twice a year to prepare the ministerial meetings, follow-upwards on their conclusions and cooperate in working groups.

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Supporting EU policy-making

Strategic Foresight helps better policy pattern, develop future-proof strategies and ensure that short-term actions are coherent with long-term objectives by using a number of different techniques, including:

	Horizon scanning: a systematic scan and collection of events and trends, the output being a futurity-scape or visual mapping of new signals of alter
	Megatrends analysis: analysis and discussion of blueprint shifts and interacting trends, the output being a story of the future (atypical) and a programme of action
	Scenario planning: interactive and iterative process, involving interviews, assay and modelling, the output being a gear up of stories of plausible futures, whether we like them or not, and how these might come nigh
	Visioning: identification of a preferred management, the output being a shared agreement and explicit description of the preferred time to come and a medium term roadmap detailing specific actions for making progress towards the vision

Strategic foresight guides the Commission in achieving President von der Leyen's vi headline ambitions past:

• Conducting foresight exercises on frontwards-looking bug to explore means to achieve the aspirations outlined in the Commission's political priorities, analyse primal trends, risks and  emerging issues and define topics of critical interest for the Eu. These exercises include the publication of an Annual Strategic Foresight Study. Starting from 2021, its preparation volition be based on full foresight cycles, which are linked with the priorities of the annual State of the Union addresses, subsequent Commission Work Programmes and multi-almanac programming
• Supporting the Commission's Piece of work Programme as part of the revised Amend Regulation Agenda. Major policy initiatives should be informed by strategic foresight, ensuring that European union policies describe on a clear agreement of future trends and emerging bug, possible scenarios and related challenges and opportunities. For instance, the Committee has adult foresight scenarios presenting a subset of possible futures in 2040 to directly inform the Committee'south Communication on the Long Term Vision for Rural Areas.
• Supporting time to come thinking among policymakers and inspiring long-term strategies on fundamental policy problems through dedicated newsletters "Foresight ON". e.grand. on artificial intelligence and digital transformation, raw materials, security, health, synergies between civil, defence force and infinite industries, or European territories.  Apart from newsletters, the Committee also delivers dedicated foresight reports, on topics such equally the Future professional person roles of Farmers by 2040, the future of Community in the EU and the Future of Jobs is Green.
• Informing reviews under the Regulatory Fitness and Operation Programme, which identifies opportunities to reduce Europe's regulatory burden, and informs the cess of whether existing EU laws remain 'fit for the future'.

Next steps

• Developing cooperation inside the Eu-wide Foresight Network, to build foresight capacity in Member State administrations across the EU.
• Farther work on the resilience dashboards
• European Strategy and Political Analysis System (ESPAS) conference on 18-xix Nov 2021.
• Implementation of the Commission'southward Strategic Foresight Agenda for this policy cycle and inform initiatives in the Commission Work Programme.
• Preparations of the 2022 Strategic Foresight Written report.

For whatever enquiries, please contact us at SG-FORESIGHT@ec.europa.eu; JRC-FORESIGHT@ec.europa.eu

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Source: https://ec.europa.eu/info/strategy/strategic-planning/strategic-foresight_en

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